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AfD Tops New Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern Poll With 38%, SPD Slumps to 19%

Parties’ refusal to work with the AfD leaves anti‑AfD majorities dependent on difficult four‑party arrangements.

Overview

  • The Infratest dimap survey for NDR, conducted September 18–23 among 1,151 eligible voters via 674 phone and 477 online interviews, places the AfD first.
  • Other reported shares are CDU 13%, Die Linke 12%, BSW 7% and Greens 5%, while the FDP would miss representation.
  • The incumbent SPD–Linke duo totals 31%, meaning even together they trail the AfD’s support and a three‑party non‑AfD majority does not add up.
  • Compared with the 2021 Landtagswahl, the AfD would more than double its vote and the SPD would be roughly halved, underscoring a sharp realignment.
  • Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig says she will seek a third term, with the election set for September 20, 2026, and pollsters noting a typical 2–3 point sampling error.