Overview
- The Infratest dimap survey for NDR, conducted September 18–23 among 1,151 eligible voters via 674 phone and 477 online interviews, places the AfD first.
- Other reported shares are CDU 13%, Die Linke 12%, BSW 7% and Greens 5%, while the FDP would miss representation.
- The incumbent SPD–Linke duo totals 31%, meaning even together they trail the AfD’s support and a three‑party non‑AfD majority does not add up.
- Compared with the 2021 Landtagswahl, the AfD would more than double its vote and the SPD would be roughly halved, underscoring a sharp realignment.
- Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig says she will seek a third term, with the election set for September 20, 2026, and pollsters noting a typical 2–3 point sampling error.