Overview

• Infratest dimap’s new Saxony-Anhalt survey (n=1,167) puts the AfD at 39% ahead of the CDU on 27%, with the Left at 13%, SPD 7%, BSW 6%, and Greens on 3% as the FDP falls below the threshold.
• Forming a government without the AfD would force the CDU toward an unusual tie-up with SPD and BSW and likely cooperation with the Left, despite public red lines, while all Bundestag parties continue to rule out working with the AfD.
• The latest ARD Deutschlandtrend shows the AfD at a national high of 25%, trailing CDU/CSU on 27% and ahead of SPD at 14%, Greens 11%, Left 10%, BSW 4% and FDP 3%, with pollsters stressing these are snapshots, not forecasts.
• The domestic intelligence service’s move to label the AfD a proven right-wing extremist effort remains paused pending court review after an AfD lawsuit, even as calls in parliament to examine a party ban are revived.
• AfD lead candidate in Saxony-Anhalt, Ulrich Siegmund, is leveraging a large social media following and positioning for a 2026 power bid, reflecting the party’s consolidation in eastern states.