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AfD Rises in Bavaria While Left Surges in Berlin, Redrawing Coalitions

Declining approval for traditional coalitions drove parties to consider new alliances following AfD gains in Bavaria coupled with Left gains in Berlin

Overview

  • The Left jumps to 19% in Berlin polls, securing second place behind the CDU and making a red-green-red coalition under its leadership the only majority option.
  • Only 26% of respondents approve of the current Berlin government and just 29% back Mayor Kai Wegner’s leadership.
  • A Civey survey finds the AfD at a record 22% in Bavaria, narrowing the gap with Markus Söder’s CSU, which stands at 39%.
  • In Sachsen-Anhalt, the CDU leads with 34% while the AfD climbs to 30%, leaving Greens and FDP below the 5% threshold and fracturing existing coalition math.
  • Persistent voter discontent over economic and governance issues is reshaping state-level alliances and raising the prospect of unexpected multi-party configurations.