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AfD Polling Surge Challenges Germany's Political Order

As the AfD reaches record support nationally and regionally, traditional parties like the SPD and CDU/CSU face historic declines, complicating coalition prospects.

  • The AfD has reached a record 24% in national polls, while the CDU/CSU has fallen to 26%, its lowest level since October 2022.
  • In Rhineland-Palatinate, the AfD has more than doubled its support to 19%, closing in on the SPD, which has dropped to 21%.
  • In Saarland, the AfD has tripled its polling numbers to 17%, while the SPD has seen a significant decline, now at 30%.
  • Leadership changes, such as Malu Dreyer's resignation in Rhineland-Palatinate, have failed to halt the SPD's downward trajectory.
  • Smaller parties, including the Greens and FDP, continue to struggle nationally, with coalition-building becoming increasingly complex.
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