AfD Overtakes CDU/CSU in Polls as Coalition Talks Near Conclusion

A new Ipsos poll places the AfD at 25%, marking the first time it has surpassed the CDU/CSU, while schwarz-rote coalition negotiations enter final stages.

The latest Ipsos poll from early April 2025 shows the AfD leading with 25%, a three-point gain over the past month, while the CDU/CSU drops to 24%.
This marks the first time the far-right AfD has surpassed the CDU/CSU in national polling, reflecting a significant shift in Germany's political landscape.
The CDU/CSU has experienced a five-point decline, hitting its lowest polling level in three years, as voter dissatisfaction grows.
Meanwhile, coalition negotiations between the CDU/CSU and SPD for a schwarz-rote government are in their final stages, highlighting the urgency of securing a governing majority.
Other notable shifts include Die Linke rising to 11%, its best performance since 2016, while the SPD, Greens, and smaller parties like BSW and FDP show minor changes in support.