Overview
- A Forsa RTL/ntv Trendbarometer conducted between July 28 and August 3 shows the AfD at 28 percent and the CDU/CSU at 21 percent, the largest gap for the AfD in that survey series.
- The same national poll finds sharp public disillusionment with parties: 56 percent say no party can solve Germany’s problems and only 14 percent trust the chancellor’s performance.
- Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s satisfaction rating is very low at 14 percent satisfied and 85 percent dissatisfied, a decline noted alongside internal criticism of his recent personnel moves.
- Smaller parties face entry risks under current numbers, with the FDP at four percent and the BSW polling below the level reported separately, which would likely keep both out of the Bundestag under the 5 percent threshold.
- State-level polls in Berlin diverge from the national picture: a Civey survey puts the Left first at 21 percent while an earlier Insa poll showed the AfD leading at 19 percent, underscoring volatility ahead of the Sept. 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election.