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AfD Narrows Gap with CDU/CSU to Four Points in Latest Poll

New polling data highlights voter dissatisfaction with the Union's policies, constraining coalition possibilities in Germany's fragmented political landscape.

Overview

  • The CDU/CSU (Union) leads with 27% in voter support, but its gap over the AfD has shrunk to just 4 percentage points, down from 14 points in November 2024.
  • The AfD has gained 1 percentage point in the latest poll, reaching 23%, marking its highest support level since January 2024.
  • The SPD has dropped to 15%, losing 1 percentage point, while the Greens have gained 1 point, now at 12%.
  • Traditional coalitions, such as Union-SPD, no longer hold a majority, while a Union-AfD coalition is mathematically possible but politically ruled out.
  • Smaller parties show mixed results: the Left Party remains stable at 10%, the FDP stays below the parliamentary threshold at 3%, and the BSW holds at 5%, barely meeting the threshold.