Overview
- A Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung study finds the AfD leading among people of Polish origin at 33 percent and among Spätaussiedler at 31 percent.
- Support patterns vary widely by origin, with the SPD ahead among Russian-origin respondents at 43 percent and the AfD drawing about 8 percent among Turkish-origin Germans.
- Recent integration-council elections in North Rhine-Westphalia saw the AfD place first in Hagen and second in Duisburg, Bochum, and Essen.
- The findings mark a notable decline for the CDU/CSU among groups that earlier surveys showed leaning toward the Union, according to study author Dominik Hirndorf.
- KAS cautions that subgroup results are based on unweighted case numbers from more than 3,000 interviews conducted Oct. 1, 2024 to Jan. 28, and that Germany’s data on migrant voting behavior remains limited.