Overview
- Late July surveys show the AfD at 41 percent in Sachsen-Anhalt according to Infratest dimap and at 27 percent nationally in Forsa’s RTL/ntv Trendbarometer, with the party also rising on measures of perceived competence.
- The AfD says it aims to govern alone in Saxony‑Anhalt under Spitzenkandidat Ulrich Siegmund, though current polling does not guarantee an absolute majority of seats.
- Which smaller parties cross the five percent threshold will shape outcomes because the Greens sit around five percent and their presence in the Landtag would make an AfD sole government much less likely.
- The state domestic intelligence service has classified the Sachsen‑Anhalt AfD association as 'gesichert rechtsextremistisch', a designation that heightens political and economic concerns about any transfer of executive power.
- Polls are snapshots with margins of error and rapid voter shifts, so the key things to watch before the September 6 Landtag vote are final vote shares, whether the Greens and other small parties enter the parliament, and how the CDU’s public refusal to cooperate with the AfD or the Left constrains post‑election options.