Overview
- National surveys published Wednesday show the AfD at about 28 percent while the CDU/CSU register roughly 20–21 percent, giving the AfD a multi‑point lead in mid‑August sonntagsfragen.
- A Bavaria‑specific Civey poll finds a different picture with the CSU at 38 percent and the AfD at 20 percent, underlining sharp regional divergence in voter support.
- Forsa’s Trendbarometer reports extremely weak approval for Chancellor Friedrich Merz at about 13 percent and broad public distrust of parties’ ability to solve problems.
- The Greens have recorded modest gains to roughly 15–16 percent while smaller parties such as the FDP and the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance hover near or below parliamentary thresholds.
- Polls show issue drivers that favor the AfD: high economic anxiety, large differences in perceived personal security among party supporters, and the caution that these snapshots are not election forecasts.