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AfD Leads Mecklenburg-Vorpommern in New NDR Poll at 38 Percent

The snapshot puts the SPD–Left government behind the AfD, signaling tough coalition arithmetic.

Overview

  • The Infratest dimap survey shows the SPD at 19 percent, roughly half its 2021 result, while the AfD more than doubles its past share.
  • CDU polls at 13 percent, the Left at 12, BSW at 7, and the Greens at 5, with the FDP projected to fall out of the Landtag.
  • Combined support for the SPD and Left reaches 31 percent, which trails the AfD in this poll.
  • Analysts reporting on the results say a three-party coalition excluding the AfD would not add up, and four-party options appear politically difficult.
  • Fieldwork ran September 18–23 with 1,151 eligible voters via 674 phone and 477 online interviews, with standard margins of error noted; Minister-President Manuela Schwesig plans to seek a third term ahead of the expected September 20, 2026 election.