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AfD Holds Slim Lead as Union Gains in Latest INSA Poll

FDP plus BSW poll below 5 percent, leaving few partners given the Union's Brandmauer to the AfD.

Overview

  • INSA’s Sonntagstrend shows the AfD at 26 percent with the CDU/CSU at 25 percent, a one-point gain for the Union week over week.
  • SPD holds at 15 percent, the Greens are steady at 11 percent, and the Left also stands at 11 percent.
  • FDP at 3 percent and BSW at 4 percent sit below the Bundestag’s 5 percent threshold, which would exclude them from parliament.
  • Combined support for the UnionSPD government is roughly 40 percent, leaving it short of a working majority.
  • Support for maintaining the AfD Brandmauer registers at 64 percent among Union voters and 48 percent across all respondents, with the survey conducted Oct. 27–30 and a margin of error of ±2.9 points.