Overview
- The Infratest dimap BrandenburgTrend poll, conducted June 18–22 with 1,159 respondents, puts the AfD at a record 37 percent in a Sunday question.
- The Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) polls at about four percent and would miss the five percent threshold needed to re-enter the Landtag in that snapshot.
- Only 28 percent of respondents said they are satisfied with the new SPD/CDU state government while 62 percent said they are unhappy, weakening the coalition’s early-term standing.
- With the SPD at 22 percent, the CDU at 12 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent, no rot‑black‑green combination reaches a majority without bringing the Linke into a coalition.
- A separate INSA national snapshot shows AfD strength and places the CSU under five percent, raising questions about the Grundmandatsklausel that can allow parties below 5 percent to keep seats if they win direct mandates.