Overview

• The latest ZDF-Politbarometer puts CDU/CSU at 27% and AfD at 25%, the AfD’s highest reading in the series, with SPD at 15%, Greens at 11% and Linke at 10%.
• BSW and FDP are each measured at 3% in the national poll, below the 5% threshold that determines parliamentary entry.
• Based on this projection, a CDU–SPD governing alliance would no longer command a majority in the Bundestag.
• The survey reports 51% rating the federal government’s work as poor and 46% evaluating Merz negatively.
• An infratest-dimap poll in Saxony-Anhalt shows the AfD near 39%, a level that would secure a two‑thirds blocking minority and, if several smaller parties miss 5%, could yield an absolute majority; the state branch is classified as right-wing extremist by the regional intelligence service.