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AfD Gains Drive Tactical Shifts as Söder Floats State Mergers and Merz Questions Work-Hours Law

Rising AfD support is forcing mainstream parties to recalibrate strategy ahead of key state contests.

Overview

  • Nationally, a YouGov poll has CDU/CSU and AfD level at 25 percent, while Bavaria’s BayernTrend shows the AfD at a record 19 percent, the CSU at 39 and the Free Voters down to 9.
  • In Brandenburg, an INSA survey finds 68 percent favor new elections after the coalition collapse, with the AfD at 34 percent and a planned SPD–CDU tie-up viewed negatively by a majority.
  • The CDU in Saxony-Anhalt plans to hand power from Rainer Haseloff to Sven Schulze by late January so Schulze can run as incumbent in September’s vote to counter AfD momentum.
  • Bavarian premier Markus Söder is urging larger federal states, a proposal rejected by Schleswig-Holstein’s Daniel Günther as unnecessary structural debate.
  • Chancellor Friedrich Merz told business leaders he would probably scrap the Working Hours Act and pressed for longer work hours, drawing SPD criticism that the law safeguards worker health.