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AfD Edges Union in INSA Poll, Reaches Record 26 Percent

The INSA survey for BILD indicates neither the black‑red government nor a red‑red‑green bloc would secure a majority.

Overview

  • The latest INSA poll reported by BILD puts the AfD at 26 percent ahead of the CDU/CSU at 25 percent, with the SPD at 15 percent, the Greens at 11 percent, and the Left at 11 percent.
  • According to the poll, a Union–AfD pairing would total 51 percent, with the AfD as the larger partner, while the current CDU/CSUSPD government would reach 40 percent and red‑red‑green 37 percent.
  • This marks the first time in the INSA‑for‑BILD series that neither the Union nor the SPD leads, with the AfD reported as the strongest force.
  • Satisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his government has fallen, with 62 percent dissatisfied with Merz and 65 percent dissatisfied with the government in the INSA findings.
  • Among Union supporters, 32 percent say they are dissatisfied with Merz and 38 percent with the government, while smaller parties such as BSW and the FDP poll below the 5 percent threshold.