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AfD Edges Ahead of Union at 26% in Latest Insa Poll

The survey underscores growing fragmentation that complicates any path to a governing majority.

Overview

  • The Insa poll conducted September 19–22 places AfD at 26% and CDU/CSU at 24.5%, with AfD up 0.5 points and the Union down 1 point from the prior week.
  • Party standings show SPD at 14.5%, Die Linke at 11.5%, the Greens at 11%, BSW at 4% and the FDP at 3.5%, leaving BSW and FDP below the 5% Bundestag threshold.
  • Combined support for the governing Union–SPD pairing totals 39%, indicating they would fall short of a parliamentary majority on these figures.
  • In the politician ranking, Alice Weidel rises to her best position at number 10 as Friedrich Merz slips to 18, while Boris Pistorius remains the most popular with a score of 51.7.
  • Methodology notes list an online sample of 2,002 respondents and a stated maximum error of ±2.5 percentage points, with the results described as a snapshot of opinion.