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Advocacy Polls Show Muslim Voters Powered Democratic Wins in 2025 Races

New exit polls from advocacy groups point to a rebound in Democratic support among Muslim voters after 2024 defections.

Overview

  • A CAIR exit poll of 1,626 self-identified Muslim voters reports 97% support for New York City Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani.
  • In Virginia, the poll shows 95% Muslim support for Lt. Gov.–elect Ghazala Hashmi and about 86% for gubernatorial winner Abigail Spanberger.
  • New Jersey’s Mikie Sherrill received roughly 84% support from Muslim voters in her successful gubernatorial bid, according to the reports.
  • The data also cite about 90% Muslim backing for California’s Proposition 50 on redistricting and note a wave of local wins, including Muslim mayors in Hamtramck, Dearborn, and Dearborn Heights.
  • Findings are drawn from CAIR and U.S. Muslim Lobby exit polls of self-identified respondents, which carry advocacy origins and sample-size limits.