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Adobe Reports Record Q3 as AI-First ARR Surges and Backlog Growth Trails

Management says its freemium funnel and fast-growing AI products will drive paid subscription growth over time.

Overview

  • Adobe posted record third-quarter revenue of $6.76 billion and raised its full-year guidance after the results on Sept. 10, with adjusted EPS of $6.13.
  • AI-first ending ARR topped $650 million, up about 150% year over year, but that AI revenue still represents a small slice of total ARR of roughly $27.5 billion.
  • Monthly active users surpassed 1 billion and monthly freemium users rose past 100 million as the company leans on free tools like Express and limited AI credits to build a conversion funnel.
  • Remaining performance obligations, the contract backlog that measures future recognized revenue, grew just 8% to $22.16 billion and net new ARR weakened, creating investor concern about subscription durability.
  • Leadership and capital moves include Anil Chakravarthy’s takeover as CEO on Dec. 1, a Topaz Labs acquisition awaiting regulatory review, and heavy buybacks with $24.55 billion still authorized; investors now watch conversion rates, RPO trends, and foreign-exchange headwinds for signs the strategy will sustain growth.