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Adidas Raises 2026 Profit Forecast After Record Third Quarter

Margin gains from a €200 million US duty refund have strengthened Adidas’s profit outlook, altering its near-term investment plan.

Overview

  • Adidas disclosed Tuesday that preliminary Q3 revenue hit a record €7.25 billion and operating profit rose about 37% to roughly €1.0 billion, the highest quarterly profit in the company’s history.
  • The company raised its full-year 2026 operating-profit guidance from about €2.3 billion to €2.5 billion, citing a one-off roughly €200 million US import-duty refund as a key driver.
  • Gross margin expanded by 2.5 percentage points to 54.3%, driven by stronger full-price sales that helped offset negative currency effects.
  • Management said it will front-load about €100 million of planned spending into Q4 for items such as IT and logistics, while saying some lifestyle footwear segments still face high inventories and discounting.
  • Analysts at firms including RBC and JPMorgan reacted positively and will watch Q4 momentum and whether lower discounting can push the company closer to a possible €2.6 billion operating profit next year.