Overview

• Decision Desk HQ, NBC News and the Associated Press projected Grijalva the winner over Republican Daniel Butierez in Arizona’s 7th District, with unofficial returns showing roughly a 70%–28% margin.
• Her addition brings the House split to 219 Republicans and 214 Democrats, further limiting Speaker Mike Johnson’s room for defections on close votes.
• Once sworn in, Grijalva is expected to sign the bipartisan Massie–Khanna discharge petition, providing the 218th signature required to compel a floor vote on releasing unclassified Epstein-related DOJ files.
• She will serve the remaining roughly 15 months of the late Rep. Raúl Grijalva’s term and is expected to be seated promptly after Arizona certifies the result.
• The heavily Democratic, majority-Hispanic district centered on Tucson has a nearly two-to-one Democratic registration advantage, and Grijalva campaigned with prominent progressive endorsements and plans to join the Congressional Progressive Caucus.