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Acton Takes Lead in Ohio Governor Race

A sharp drop in independent support for Vivek Ramaswamy and a lopsided ad war have reshaped the closing weeks of the campaign.

Overview

  • CNN data analyst Harry Enten said Monday that his polling aggregate shows Amy Acton up by about four points and that Ramaswamy’s net approval among independents sits near minus 25.
  • Ramaswamy and allied groups have run roughly $101 million in ads attacking Acton, with about $36 million coming directly from Ramaswamy, while Acton-backed spending is roughly one-third of that amount.
  • Ramaswamy’s early consolidation of the GOP field followed a public endorsement from President Donald Trump but the nomination exposed intra-party unease when Casey Putsch captured nearly one-in-five primary votes.
  • With neither major nominee holding extensive statewide records, the campaign has centered on personal negative ads that portray Ramaswamy as a swindler and revive a 2019 incident used to attack Acton.
  • An Acton win would be the first Democratic gubernatorial victory in Ohio in about two decades and could signal a broader shift in a state that has trended Republican at recent presidential contests.