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ACA Preview Prices Show 2026 Premium Surge With Subsidy Stalemate in Congress

Preview prices on HealthCare.gov highlight steep increases tied to expiring enhanced subsidies.

Overview

  • KFF estimates benchmark marketplace premiums will rise about 26% on average for 2026, with roughly 30% increases on HealthCare.gov and 17% in state-run exchanges.
  • Out-of-pocket payments for subsidized enrollees would jump about 114% if the enhanced premium tax credits lapse on Dec. 31, a scenario analysts say could push millions out of coverage.
  • Window-shopping is live and open enrollment begins Nov. 1, with fewer low-cost options available as CMS says nearly 60% of returning shoppers can find a plan at or below $50 a month, down from 83% last year.
  • CMS emphasized continued access to low-premium plans, and Administrator Mehmet Oz downplayed consumer cost increases and questioned KFF’s findings, which the organization says it stands by.
  • Congress remains locked in a shutdown fight over whether to extend the enhanced credits, as insurers raise rates citing higher medical and drug costs and the risk that healthier enrollees will drop coverage.