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ACA Open Enrollment Opens to Higher Prices as Subsidy Standoff Puts 2026 Bills at Risk

Analysts warn lapsing enhanced tax credits would more than double out-of-pocket payments for subsidized enrollees.

Overview

  • Insurers have posted 2026 marketplace rates averaging a 26% increase nationwide, reflecting higher provider prices, inflation and costly drugs such as GLP‑1 therapies.
  • If the enhanced premium tax credits expire on December 31, KFF estimates subsidized consumers’ monthly payments would rise about 114% on average.
  • Roughly 22 million people currently receive these credits, and CBO projects the uninsured could grow by millions without an extension while a permanent extension would add about $350 billion to the deficit over 2026–2035.
  • Open enrollment is underway with a December 15 deadline for January 1 coverage and January 15 final cutoff, and state exchanges say they can implement late federal changes within weeks (Maryland about three weeks; California about one).
  • Local projections underscore the stakes, with Rhode Island estimating about 13,100 people could drop coverage by 2027 and a Louisiana analysis suggesting roughly 85,000 residents are at risk if subsidies lapse.