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Abortion Bans Lead to Rise in Births, Research Shows

States with abortion restrictions see a 2.3% higher average fertility rate, resulting in approximately 32,000 additional births in the first half of 2023.

  • Births have increased in states with abortion bans, with an average fertility rate 2.3% higher than states where abortion is not restricted, leading to about 32,000 more births than expected in the first half of 2023.
  • Nearly a quarter of people seeking an abortion in the United States were unable to get one due to bans that took effect after the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision.
  • States with longer travel times to the nearest abortion providers saw the most significant increase in fertility rates, including a 5.1% increase in Texas and a 4.4% increase in Mississippi.
  • Abortion bans have especially affected Hispanic women, with a 4.7% increase in fertility rate in the first half of 2023, as well as younger women, with a 3.3% increase among those in their early 20s.
  • Despite an increase in the number of abortions in the year post-Dobbs, rising birth rates could indicate that unmet need persists.
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