71% Chance of La Niña Developing This Fall, Says US Forecaster
The Climate Prediction Center expects La Niña to emerge between September and November, potentially impacting global weather patterns through early 2025.
- La Niña, characterized by cooler-than-normal ocean temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, is linked to both floods and droughts.
- The phenomenon is expected to persist through the January-March period next year, with a 77% likelihood of continuing through winter.
- A weaker La Niña may result in less predictable winter weather patterns, particularly across North America.
- Agricultural sectors, especially in Argentina, Uruguay, and southeast Brazil, are at risk due to potential drought conditions.
- Brazilian soybean farmers could see a 14% increase in production for the 2024/2025 season, driven by expectations of more rain in the last quarter of the year.