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30-Year Mortgage Rates Slip to 6.86% as Applications Fall to Spring Lows

Housing costs still exceed what typical buyers can afford without dramatic rate cuts or significant price drops

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Even a major drop in mortgage rates wouldn't fix housing affordability in the U.S.
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Overview

  • 30-year fixed rates reversed a three-day gain on July 30 to average 6.86%, with refinance rates falling to 7.01% after a four-day increase.
  • Total mortgage applications declined 3.8% last week to their lowest level since May, with purchase requests down 6%, refinance filings slipping 1%.
  • Experts say rates must fall to roughly 4.43% or home prices drop by about 18% to restore affordability for the typical buyer.
  • In high-cost coastal metros including New York, Los Angeles and San Francisco even a zero percent mortgage rate would not bring payments within reach of median incomes.
  • The Federal Reserve has maintained benchmark rates steady without planning cuts before September, prompting advice to buy now then refinance or use adjustable-rate mortgage options later.