Overview
- Freddie Mac data show the average 30-year fixed rate fell to 6.58% for the week ending Aug. 14, the lowest level since October.
- MBA figures for the week ending Aug. 8 report refinance applications surged 23% and adjustable-rate mortgage requests jumped about 25%, their highest share since 2022.
- Purchase mortgage applications rose by only about 1% week-over-week, as high home prices and tight affordability continue to deter buyers.
- Weaker July employment data pushed 10-year Treasury yields and mortgage rates down and raised odds of a September Fed rate cut, but a hotter-than-expected PPI print has heightened policy uncertainty.
- Dallas Fed analysis and other research highlight that many borrowers already hold loans below current rates and that lower-income homeowners are less likely to refinance, limiting aggregate savings.