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2025 Ends Without Durable Peace in Ukraine or Gaza as Trump’s Initiatives Stall

A year of dealmaking yielded tactical gains without moving either war toward a credible settlement.

Overview

  • In Ukraine, a new U.S. peace proposal discussed with Kyiv and European partners is reported as unlikely to be acceptable to Moscow.
  • In Gaza, President Trump imposed a ceasefire in October 2025 after an Israeli raid that triggered pressure involving Qatar.
  • The GazaTrump plan” delivered the return of Israeli hostages, Palestinian prisoner releases and increased humanitarian aid in its first phase, but the second phase is stuck due to the absence of necessary Palestinian political participation to disarm Hamas.
  • Reporting cites more than 70,000 deaths in Gaza since October 7, 2023, alongside extensive destruction across the territory.
  • Israel’s ruling coalition approved 19 new settlements in the West Bank as Defense Minister Israel Katz described a de facto annexation.