2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Predicts Above-Average Activity
Colorado State University researchers project 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, driven by warm Atlantic waters and neutral ENSO conditions.
- The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be 25% more active than the 1991–2020 average, with 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes expected.
- Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures are a key factor fueling the forecasted above-average hurricane activity.
- ENSO-neutral conditions are likely to prevail, reducing the chances of El Niño, which typically suppresses hurricane formation.
- The U.S. coastline faces a 51% probability of a major hurricane making landfall, with heightened risks for the Gulf Coast (33%), East Coast (26%), and Caribbean (56%).
- Experts emphasize the need for coastal communities to prepare, as even a single hurricane landfall can cause significant damage.
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