Overview

• The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be 25% more active than the 1991–2020 average, with 17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes expected.
• Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures are a key factor fueling the forecasted above-average hurricane activity.
• ENSO-neutral conditions are likely to prevail, reducing the chances of El Niño, which typically suppresses hurricane formation.
• The U.S. coastline faces a 51% probability of a major hurricane making landfall, with heightened risks for the Gulf Coast (33%), East Coast (26%), and Caribbean (56%).
• Experts emphasize the need for coastal communities to prepare, as even a single hurricane landfall can cause significant damage.