2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted to Be Among Most Active

Colorado State University forecasters anticipate a near-record number of storms due to warm ocean temperatures and favorable atmospheric conditions.

Colorado State University's latest forecast predicts 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and five major hurricanes for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, with an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) of 210, nearly 71% above the long-term average.
The forecast, the most aggressive in 30 years, suggests a high likelihood of major hurricanes hitting the U.S., with a 62% chance of at least one major hurricane making landfall.
Record-warm ocean temperatures across the Atlantic, along with the anticipated shift from El Niño to La Niña conditions, are key factors driving the forecast for an extremely active season.
Analogue years, which had similar early-year conditions, suggest the 2024 season could resemble some of the most active seasons on record, including 2020, which saw 30 named storms.
Experts emphasize the importance of preparation for coastal residents, noting that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season.