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1998 Americans’ Predictions for 2025: What They Got Right and Wrong

A Roper Center–archived Gallup/USA Today poll now shows which expectations matched 2025 realities.

Overview

  • Majorities accurately foresaw a Black president, legalized same-sex marriage, and the emergence of a deadly new disease.
  • High-confidence predictions that did not arrive by 2025 included a female president, a cure for cancer, and people routinely living to 100.
  • Respondents expected declines in personal privacy and freedom along with higher crime, poorer environmental quality, and lower moral values.
  • Many anticipated better race relations and wider access to medical care even as they expected affordability to worsen.
  • Gallup’s satisfaction gauge fell from about 60% in 1998 to 24% in 2025, reflecting a markedly darker national outlook.